Thanksgiving is approaching and here in Washington
everyone is still having a hard time understanding what happened this past election
cycle. Despite a seemingly terrible
climate for Democrats and the money disparity against them, Democrats managed to
beat expectations across the board. Although
there are numerous political implications for the recent Democratic success, I
think an overlooked and far more important legal implication can be made from
the 2012 election: that the citizen, despite the amount of money and
advertising in an election, can be relied on to cast an intelligent ballot by
cutting through the advertising noise in an election. Reformers opposed to the Citizens United
decision argued that corporate spending would blind voters, confuse them, and
ultimately would guarantee that corporate interests would run government because
of the large amounts of money corporations could put into elections. This year we can at least be thankful that
despite all the money spent on campaigns, voters were able to cut through the
noise generated by massive amounts of money in the 2012 election cycle.
Corporations, through Super PACs and other tax protected
entities spent a large amount of money in this election. OpenSecrets.org has a very detailed
explanation of the amount of outside money[1]
each side spent in this election cycle.[2]
The top five entities that spent money
in this election cycle were American Crossroads/Crossroads GPS, Restore Our
Future, Priorities USA Action, Americans for Prosperity, and the US Chamber of
Commerce. Of these five, Priorities USA
action was the only entity connected to liberal spending. Looking at the spending of these top five
groups the four conservative groups spent just under half a billion dollars
with most of that money going towards independent expenditures for a
conservative candidate or against a liberal candidate. The liberal backed Priorities USA Action
spent a paltry 77 million dollars in comparison. Just in terms of the largest five outside
spenders, conservative groups spent 6.25 times more money on elections than
liberal organizations.[3]
The money in this election cycle can be further broken
down by looking at the spending disparity in competitive races. Outside spending for the presidential race
resulted in 670 million dollars being spent.
Of that 670 million, only 188 million went towards either helping
President Barack Obama by supporting him (33 million) or attacking Governor
Romney (155 million). The rest of the
482 million went towards attacking the president (370 million) or bolstering
the governor (98 million). Despite this
amount of outside money, President Obama was re-elected with roughly 51% of the
vote and with 332 Electoral College votes compared to Governor Romney’s 48% of
the popular vote and 206 Electoral College votes.
For the Senate Races the following outside spending
information is available:
Race
|
Total
|
Total Democratic Spending per race
|
Total Republican spending
per Race
|
Virginia Senate
|
$45,650,100
|
$14,823,839
|
$30,826,261
|
Wisconsin Senate
|
$38,603,100
|
$17,475,823
|
$18,366,769
|
Ohio Senate
|
$36,848,886
|
$10,736,119
|
$25,894,000
|
Indiana Senate
|
$27,097,583
|
$9,969,877
|
$14,856,706
|
Nevada Senate
|
$25,509,388
|
$11,490,044
|
$13,911,128
|
$24,899,671
|
$3,005,133
|
$21,893,469
|
|
Montana
Senate
|
$21,071,425
|
$11,378,133
|
$9,392,337
|
Missouri
Senate
|
$11,234,346
|
$7,413,969
|
$3,818,491
|
$10,147,804
|
$4,231,004
|
$4,066,363
|
|
Massachusetts
Senate
|
$7,155,420
|
$4,094,455
|
$3,060,965
|
In the senate races democratic candidates were generally
outspent by outside money. In Virginia
Governor Kaine was outspent 2:1, in Ohio Senator Brown was outspent 2.5:1, in
Indiana Joe Donnelly was outspent by 1.5:1 and in Florida Senator Nelson was
outspent 7:1. In these elections the
democratic candidate won despite the spending advantages from outside
conservative spenders.
Those in favor of campaign finance reform have to now
explain how having Super PAC spending, corporate influence, and large infusions
of cash in elections have hurt America’s electoral process when,
contradictorily, Americans were able to cut through the corporation backed
advertisements that blanketed every media market in seemingly every important electoral
college state, and senate race. If the
reformers’ theory about elections were correct then the results of the 2012
election should have been remarkably different for both the presidential and
the senate races. This justification is
not needed only as a matter of policy, but as a matter of law for the Citizens
United decision and future Supreme Court rulings on the matter.
The conservative wing of the Supreme Court has through
various cases explained that campaign finance restrictions on contributions and
independent expenditures seem useless because our democracy favors more not
less speech, because speakers should be able to speak freely regardless of
wealth, and because voters should be trusted to be able to see through campaign
advertising and still make an intelligent decision on the ballot. This analysis formed the backbone of the
Citizens United decision and explained why the Supreme Court overturned
McConnell v. FEC and Austin v. Texas Chamber of Commerce. This election cycle seems to support the
conservative wing’s underlying theory supporting Citizens United.
[1] Outside money means money spent
from entities that are not legally tied to a candidate for elective office such
as a Super PAC or a 501(c)(4).
[2] http://www.opensecrets.org/outsidespending/index.php. I am using all of Open Secrets numbers to aid
in my analysis.
[3] Note that the money from these
five groups could be spent on candidates for the presidential race, the senate,
or the house of representative.